Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.004134 0.004348 0.004567 0.004810 0.005071 0.005343 0.005650
2025-08-31 0.003739 0.004054 0.004390 0.004778 0.005216 0.005696 0.006265
2025-09-07 0.003468 0.003834 0.004237 0.004715 0.005273 0.005905 0.006683
2025-09-14 0.003256 0.003655 0.004103 0.004649 0.005300 0.006061 0.007026
2025-09-21 0.003123 0.003552 0.004044 0.004656 0.005403 0.006298 0.007468
2025-09-28 0.002927 0.003364 0.003871 0.004512 0.005309 0.006283 0.007586
2025-10-05 0.002828 0.003283 0.003820 0.004508 0.005382 0.006472 0.007966
2025-10-12 0.002779 0.003258 0.003833 0.004582 0.005551 0.006786 0.008523
2025-10-19 0.002683 0.003172 0.003764 0.004547 0.005576 0.006911 0.008829
2025-10-26 0.002600 0.003097 0.003706 0.004522 0.005609 0.007045 0.009150
2025-11-02 0.002521 0.003024 0.003646 0.004489 0.005629 0.007159 0.009446
2025-11-09 0.002492 0.003012 0.003664 0.004559 0.005787 0.007467 0.010038
2025-11-16 0.002426 0.002952 0.003617 0.004540 0.005825 0.007612 0.010400
2025-11-23 0.002359 0.002888 0.003563 0.004509 0.005845 0.007729 0.010728
2025-11-30 0.002285 0.002813 0.003491 0.004452 0.005821 0.007781 0.010955
2025-12-07 0.002215 0.002740 0.003419 0.004390 0.005789 0.007817 0.011156
2025-12-14 0.002174 0.002705 0.003397 0.004396 0.005855 0.008000 0.011603
2025-12-21 0.002084 0.002601 0.003279 0.004263 0.005710 0.007856 0.011503
2025-12-28 0.002046 0.002566 0.003253 0.004260 0.005757 0.008009 0.011905
2026-01-04 0.002034 0.002567 0.003277 0.004328 0.005912 0.008337 0.012627
2026-01-11 0.001989 0.002520 0.003233 0.004296 0.005914 0.008419 0.012925
2026-01-18 0.001949 0.002479 0.003196 0.004273 0.005927 0.008520 0.013261
2026-01-25 0.001908 0.002437 0.003155 0.004243 0.005928 0.008601 0.013565